Game Result Predictions
Friday, March 23
Friday, March 23
The Resid and Elo Predictions calculates each team's final score, margin of victory (spread), and probability of winning the game.
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
North Dakota State (22-24) | 2 | 7 | -3.0 | 61% | ✔ | 7 | -5.0 | 76% | ✔ | |
IPFW (11-37) | 1 | 4 | +3.0 | 39% | 2 | +5.0 | 24% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
Oral Roberts (38-20) | 3 | 6 | -2.0 | 58% | ✘ | 9 | -8.0 | 86% | ✘ | |
Omaha (15-35) | 4 | 4 | +2.0 | 42% | 1 | +8.0 | 14% |
Final | Resid Prediction | ELO Prediction | ||||||||
Score | Spread | Win Prob. | Score | Spread | Win Prob. | |||||
South Dakota State (18-32) | 6 | 5 | +1.0 | 46% | ✘ | 4 | +0.5 | 52% | ✘ | |
Western Illinois (16-31) | 3 | 6 | -1.0 | 54% | 5 | -0.5 | 48% |
Friday, March 23 Results
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 33%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 33%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 33%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 33%
Overall Results (851 games)
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 71%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 68%
Resid Prediction Accuracy: 71%
ELO Prediction Accuracy: 68%
The goal for the Game Result Predictions is to determine winners at a rate greater than 70%.